Publications by year:    2017 2016  2015  2013 2012 2011         

Ades, A. E., Biswas, M., Welton, N. J. & Hamilton, W. 29 Aug 2014 Symptom lead time distribution in lung cancer: natural history and prospects for early diagnosis : International Journal of Epidemiology.

Banks, J., Hollinghurst, S., Bigwood, L., Peters, T. J., Walter, F. M. & Hamilton, W. Preferences for cancer investigation: a vignette-based study of primary-care attendees. Lancet Oncology. 15, 2, p. 232-40 9 p. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(13)70588-6

Bell, S. L., Audrey, S., Cooper, A. R., Noble, S. M. & Campbell, R. M. Lessons from a peer-led obesity prevention programme in English schools. : Health Promotion International.

Bennewith O, Evans J, Donovan J, Paramasivan S, Owen-Smith A, Hollingworth W, et al. A Contact-Based Intervention for People Recently Discharged from Inpatient Psychiatric Care: A Pilot Study. Archives of suicide research 2014.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13811118.2013.838196

Biswas, M., Ades, A. E. & Hamilton, W. T. 2014 Symptom lead times in lung and colorectal cancers: what are the benefits of symptom-based approaches to early diagnosis? : British Journal of Cancer. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2014.597, 7 p.

Blazeby JM, Brookes S, Griffin SM, Crosby T, Donovan J, Hollingworth W. Quality of life in patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer receiving surgery or definitive chemoradiotherapy: results from a randomized controlled trial. Annals of Surgery 2014;259(5):e81. http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/SLA.0b013e3182480871

Blazeby, J. M., Strong, S., Donovan, J. L., Wilson, C., Hollingworth, W., Crosby, T., Nicklin, J., Falk, S. J., Barham, C. P., Hollowood, A. D., Streets, C. G., Titcomb, D., Krysztopik, R., Griffin, S. M. & Brookes, S. T. 15 Jul 2014 Feasibility RCT of definitive chemoradiotherapy or chemotherapy and surgery for oesophageal squamous cell cancer : Br. J. Cancer. 111, 2, p. 234-40 7 p.

Burgess, S., Davies, N. M., Thompson, S. G. & EPIC-InterAct Consortium Nov 2014 1. Instrumental variable analysis with a nonlinear exposure-outcome relationship: Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.). 25, 6, p. 877-85 9 p.

Brilleman, S. L., Gravelle, H., Hollinghurst, S., Purdy, S., Salisbury, C. & Windmeijer, F. Keep it simple? Predicting primary health care costs with clinical morbidity measures. Journal of Health Economics. 35, p. 109-122 14 p.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2014.02.005

Chamberlain, C. A., Collin, S. M., Stephens, P., Donovan, J. L., Bahl, A. & Hollingworth, W. Does the cancer drugs fund lead to faster uptake of cost-effective drugs? A time-trend analysis comparing England and Wales. British Journal of Cancer 2014 Feb 25. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2014.86. [Epub ahead of print] http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/bjc.2014.86

Clarke, S., Bradley, R., Simmonds, B., Salisbury, C., Benger, J., Marques, E., Greenwood, R., Shepstone, L., Robinson, M., Appleby-Fleming, J. & Gooberman-Hill, R. 2014 Can paramedics use FRAX (the WHO Fracture Risk Assessment Tool) to help GPs improve future fracture risk in patients who fall?: Protocol for a randomised controlled feasibility study : BMJ Open. 4, 9, p. e005744

Coope, C. M., Gunnell, D., Hollingworth, W., Hawton, K., Kapur, N., Fearn, V., Wells, C. & Metcalfe, C. 2014 Suicide and the 2008 economic recession: Who is most at risk? Trends in suicide rates in England and Wales 2001–2011 Social Science Med. 117, 0, p. 76-85

Crawley E, Mills N, Hollingworth W, Deans Z, Sterne JA, Donovan JL, et al. Comparing specialist medical care with specialist medical care plus the Lightning Process(R) for chronic fatigue syndrome or myalgic encephalomyelitis (CFS/ME): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial (SMILE Trial). Trials 2013;14:444. http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1745-6215-14-444

Damery, S., Biswas, M., Billingham, L., Barton, P., Al-Janabi, . H. & Grimer, R. Dec 2014 Patient preferences for clinical follow-up after primary treatment for soft tissue sarcoma: a cross-sectional survey and discrete choice experiment Eur J Surg Oncol. 40, 12, p. 1655-1661 7 p.

Davies, N. M., Von Hinke Kessler Scholder, S., Farbmacher, H., Burgess, S., Windmeijer, F. & Davey Smith, G. 2014 The Many Weak Instruments Problem and Mendelian Randomization : Statistics in Medicine.

Hamilton-Shield, J., Goodred, J., Powell, L. A., Thorn, J., Banks, J. P., Hollinghurst, S., et al Jul 2014 Changing eating behaviours to treat childhood obesity inthe community using Mandolean: the Community Mandolean randomised controlled trial (ComMando) - a pilot study : Health technology assessment (Winchester, England). 18, 47, p. 1-75 75 p.

Hollinghurst, S., Carroll, F. E., Abel, A., Campbell, J., Garland, A., Jerrom, B.,et al Jan 2014 Cost-effectiveness of cognitive-behavioural therapy as an adjunct to pharmacotherapy for treatment-resistant depression in primary care: economic evaluation of the CoBalT Trial : The British Journal of Psychiatry. 204, 1, p. 69-76 8 p.

Jones, H. E., Hickman, M., Kasprzyk-Hordern, B., Welton, N. J., Baker, D. R. & Ades, A. E. Illicit and pharmaceutical drug consumption estimated via wastewater analysis. Part B: Placing back-calculations in a formal statistical framework 14 Mar 2014 Science of the Total Environment. http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.11.107

Jones HE, Hickman M, Welton NJ, De Angelis D, Harris R, Ades AE. Recapture or pre-capture? Fallibility of standard capture-recapture methods in the presence of referrals between sources. AJE2014 179:1383-1393. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwu056

Kipping, R. R., Howe, L. D., Jago, R., Campbell, R., Wells, S., Chittleborough, C. R., Mytton, J., Noble, S. M., Peters, T. J. & Lawlor, D. A. 27 May 2014 Effect of intervention aimed at increasing physical activity, reducing sedentary behaviour, and increasing fruit and vegetable consumption in children: Active for Life Year 5 (AFLY5) school based cluster randomised controlled trial : British Medical Journal. 348, 13 p.3256

Jones, H. E., Hickman, M., Welton, N. J., De Angelis, D., Harris, R. J. & Ades, A. E.Recapture or Precapture?: Fallibility of Standard Capture-Recapture Methods in the Presence of Referrals Between Sources 11 Apr 2014 American Journal of Epidemiology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwu056

Madan, J., Ades, A. E., Price, M., Maitland, K., Jemutai, J., Revill, P. & Welton, N. J. Strategies for Efficient Computation of the Expected Value of Partial Perfect Information. Med Decis Making April 2014 vol. 34 no. 3 327-342http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0272989X13514774

Madan J, Chen, Y-F, Aveyard P, Wang D, Yahaya I, Munafo M, Bauld L, Welton NJ. Synthesis of evidence on heterogeneous interventions with multiple outcomes recorded over multiple follow-up times reported inconsistently: a smoking cessation case study. JRSSA 2014 177:295-314 DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12018

Malottki, K., Biswas, M., Deeks, J., Riley, R., Craddock, C., Johnson, P. & Billingham, L .Stratified medicine in European Medicines Agency licensing: a systematic review of predictive biomarkers. BMJ Open. 4, e004188.  http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2013-004188

Marques, E. M. R., Jones, H. E., Elvers, K. T., Pyke, M., Blom, A. W. & Beswick, A. D. 2014 Local anaesthetic infiltration for peri-operative pain control in total hip and knee replacement: systematic review and meta-analyses of short- and long-term effectiveness: BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders. 15

Mavridis D, Welton NJ, Sutton A and Salanti G. A selection model for accounting for publication bias in a full network meta-analysis. Statistics in Medicine Early online: 15th Oct 2014. DOI: 10.1002/sim.6321

Murphy, M., Hollinghurst, S. & Salisbury, C. J. Dec 2014 1.  Can the outcome of primary care be measured by a Patient Reported Outcome Measure? : The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners.64, 629, p. 647-8 2 p.

Ness AR, Waylen A, Hurley K, Jeffreys M, Penfold C, Pring M, Leary S, Allmark C, Toms S, Ring S, Peters TJ, Hollingworth W, Worthington H, Nutting C, Fisher S, Rogers SN, Thomas SJ; Head and Neck 5000 Study Team. Establishing a large prospective clinical cohort in people with head and neck cancer as a biomedical resource: head and neck 5000 BMC Cancer. 2014 Dec 17;14:973. doi: 10.1186/1471-2407-14-973.

Price MJ, Ades AE, De Angelis D, Welton NJ, Macleod J, Turner K, Horner PH. Incidence of Chlamydia trachomatis infection in women in England: two methods of estimation. Epidemiology and Infection 2014 142: 562-78. doi:10.1017/S0950268813001027

Pufulete, M., Higgins, J. P., Rogers, C. A., Dreyer, L., Hollingworth, W., Dayer, M., Nightingale, A., McDonagh, T. & Reeves, B. C. 2014 Protocol for a systematic review and individual participant data meta-analysis of B-type natriuretic peptide-guided therapy for heart failure : Systematic reviews. 3, 1, p. 41

Rooshenas, L., Owen-Smith, A. L., Donovan, J. L. & Hollingworth, W. 19 Nov 2014 1. Implementing disinvestment decisions in practice: a qualitative investigation of patient and clinician perspectives: Lancet. 384, 2, p. S67 doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(14)62193-0

Salisbury, C., Montgomery, A. A., Hollinghurst, S., Hopper, C., Bishop, A., Franchini, A., et al . Sep 2014 Effectiveness of PhysioDirect telephone assessment and advice services for patients with musculoskeletal problems : British Journal of Sports Medicine. 48, 18, p. 1391

Soares M,  Nicky J Welton NJ, David A Harrison DA, Peuraa P, Shankar Hari M, Harvey SE, Madan JJ, Ades AE, Rowan KM, Palmer SJ. Intravenous immunoglobulin for severe sepsis and septic shock: clinical effectiveness, cost effectiveness, and value of a further randomised controlled trial. Critical Care 2014, 18:649

Soares MO, Dumville J, Ades AE, Welton NJ. Treatment comparisons for decision making: facing the problems of sparse and few data. JRSSA 2014 177: 259-279 DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12010

Tan, S. H., Cooper, N. J., Bujkiewicz, S., Welton, N. J., Caldwell, D. M. & Sutton, A. J Novel presentational approaches were developed for reporting network meta-analysis. 19 Feb 2014: J Clin Epidemiology.http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2013.11.006

Taylor, A. E., Davies, N. M., Ware, J. J., Vanderweele, T., Smith, G. D. & Munafò, M. R. Mar 2014 Mendelian randomization in health research: Using appropriate genetic variants and avoiding biased estimates : Economics and Human Biology. 13, p. 99-106 8 p.

Thom H, West NE, Hughes V, Dyer M, Buxton M, Sharples LD, Jackson CH, Crean AM; CECaT study group. Cost-effectiveness of initial stress cardiovascular MR, stress SPECT or stress echocardiography as a gate-keeper test, compared with upfront invasive coronary angiography in the investigation and management of patients with stable chest pain: mid-term outcomes from the CECaT randomised controlled trial. BMJ Open. 2014 Feb 7;4(2):e003419. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2013-003419http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2013-003419

Thom, H. Capkun, G. Nixon, R. and Ferreira, A. Indirect comparisons of ranibizumab and dexamethasone in macular oedema secondary to retinal vein occlusion BMC Medical Research Methodology 2014, 14:140  doi:10.1186/1471-2288-14-140

Thorn, J. C., Noble, S. M. & Hollingworth, W. 2 Sep 2014 Methodological developments in randomized controlled trial-based economic evaluations : Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research. p. 1-14 14 p.

Thomas, C. L., Man, M-S., O'Cathain, A., Hollinghurst, S., Large, S., Edwards, L., Nicholl, J., Montgomery, A. A. & Salisbury, C. Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a telehealth intervention to support the management of long-term conditions: study protocol for two linked randomized controlled trials. Trials. 15, 1, p. 36 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1745-6215-15-36

Turner, E. L., Metcalfe, C., Donovan, J. L., Noble, S. M., Sterne, J. A. C., Lane, J. A., et al. 10 Jun 2014 Design and preliminary recruitment results of the Cluster randomised triAl of PSA testing for Prostate cancer (CAP): Design and preliminary recruitment results in CAP : British Journal of Cancer.110, p. 2829 2836 p.

Welton NJ, Madan JJ, Caldwell DM, Peters TJ, Ades AE. Expected Value of Sample Information for Cluster Randomised Trials with Binary Outcomes. Medical Decision Making 2014 34:352-365.DOI: 10.1177/0272989X13501229

Wiles, N., Thomas, L., Abel, A., Barnes, M., Carroll, F., Ridgway, N., et al. May 2014 1.      Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of cognitive behavioural therapy as an adjunct to pharmacotherapy for treatment-resistant depression in primary care: the CoBalT randomised controlled trial : Health technology assessment (Winchester, England). 18, 31, p. 1-168 168 p.

Wylde, V., Marques, E. M. R., Artz, N. J., Blom, A. W. & Gooberman-Hill, R. 2014 Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a group-based pain self-management intervention for patients undergoing total hip replacement: feasibility study for a randomised controlled trial : Trials. 15, 176