Working Paper List

Economics and Econometrics

Recent discussion papers are listed below. For older papers, before 2006, please see the separate page relating to . Most of the discussion papers can be downloaded as PDFs. Requests for hard copies should be addressed to the authors.

Our working papers are also listed on RePEc. For CMPO discussion papers, see the separate List of CMPO discussion papers or the CMPO on RePEc listing.

Where available, a PDF version can be downloaded by clicking on the working paper number.


20/724 (393kb) Grant Miller, Áureo de Paula and Christine Valente Subjective Expectations and Demand for Contraception  2020 May 
20/723 (395kb) Almudena Sevilla and Sarah Smith Baby steps: The gender division of childcare during the COVID19 pandemic 2020 May
20/722 (6,490kb) Alberto Alesina, Marlon Seror, David Y. Yang, Yang You and Weihong Zeng  Persistence through Revolutions 2020 May 
20/721 (885kb) Pawel Doligalski, Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Nicolas Werquin  Redistribution with Performance Pay 2020

 April (Updated 21 May 2020)

20/720 (1,464kb) Jonas Lau-Jensen Hirani, Hans Henrik Sievertsen and Miriam Wüst

The Timing of Early Interventions and Child
and Maternal Health

2020 March
20/719 (319kb)

Leandro De Magalhães

Estimating slim-majority effects in US state legislatures with a regression discontinuity design under local randomization assumptions

 2020  January
19/718 (3047kb) David Pacini

Proximal Statistics: Asymptotic Normality

2019 September
19/717 (1,770kb) Simon Burgess, Ellen Greaves and Richard Murphy

Deregulating Teacher Labor Markets

2019 August
19/716 (455kb) Fabio Monteforte, Mathan Satchi and Jonathan Temple

Development Priorities: The Relative Benefits of Agricultural Growth

2019 June
19/715 (377kb)

Frank Windmeijer, Xiaoran Liang, Fernando P. Hartwig and Jack Bowden

The Confidence Interval Method for Selecting Valid Instrumental Variables



19/714 (1,136kb)

Francesco Pappada and Yanos Zylberberg

Sovereign default and imperfect tax enforcement

2019 May
19/713 (2,497kb)

Clement Imbert, Marlon Seror, Yifan Zhang and Yanos Zylberberg

Migrants and Firms: Evidence from China

2018 December
19/712 (10,233kb)

Stephan Heblich, Marlon Seror, Hao Xu and Yanos Zylberberg

Industrial clusters in the long run: Evidence from Million-Rouble plants in China

2019 May
19/711 (371kb) Ahmed Pirzada

Do exchange rate shocks matter for Pakistan's export performance?

2019 April
19/710 (572kb) Leandro de Magalhaes and Salomo Hirvonen

The Incumbent-Challenger Advantage and the Winner-Runner-up Advantage

2019 March
19/709 (837kb) Leandro de Magalhaes and Francesco Giovannoni

War and the Rise of Parliaments

2019 February (Updated 3rd May 2019)
19/708 (245kb) Frank Windmeijer

Weak Instruments, First-Stage Heteroskedasticity and the Robust F-test

2019 February
19/707 (760kb) Sekyu Choi, Stefano Banfi and Benjamín Villena-Roldán Deconstructing Job Search Behavior 2019 January
19/706 (652kb)

Sekyu Choi, Stefano Banfi and Benjamín Villena-Roldán

Sorting On-line and On-time 2019 January 
18/705 (263Kb)

Battal Doğan and M. Bumin Yenmez

Unified Versus Divided Enrollment in School Choice: Improving Student Welfare in Chicago

2018 November
18/704 (311Kb)

Battal Doğan and M. Bumin Yenmez

When Does an Additional Stage Improve Welfare in Centralized Assignment? 2018 November
18/703 (656Kb)

Raúl J. Crespo and José A. Zambrano

Macroeconomic Impacts of Oil Price Shocks in Venezuela 2018 October 
18/702 (611Kb)

Whitney Newey and Sami Stouli

Control Variables, Discrete Instruments, and Identification of Structural Functions

2018 September 
18/701 (432Kb)

Jon X. Eguia and Francesco Giovannoni

Tactical Extremism

2018 June
18/700 (488Kb)

Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka and Evagelos Pafilis

Common Ownership of Public Goods

2018 June
18/699 (1.1Mb)

Simon Burgess and Lucinda Platt

Inter-ethnic Relations of Teenagers in England’s Schools: the Role of School and Neighbourhood Ethnic Composition

2018 May
18/698 (641Kb)

Ulrik Hvidman and Hans Henrik Sievertsen

High-Stakes Grades and Student Behavior

2018 May
18/697 (1.2Mb)

Richard H. Spady and Sami Stouli

Simultaneous Mean-Variance Regression 2018 April
18/696 (428Kb)

Frank Windmeijer

Testing Over- and Underidentification in Linear Models, with Applications to Dynamic Panel Data and Asset-Pricing Models 2018 March 
18/695 (873Kb)

Paweł Doligalski and Luis E. Rojas

Optimal Redistribution with a Shadow Economy

2018 March
18/694 (2.6Mb) Christoph Koenig and David Schindler

Dynamics in Gun Ownership and Crime – Evidence from the Aftermath of Sandy Hook

2018 January
17/693 (1Mb) Timo Hiller

Too Big to Jail? Key-Player Policies When the Network is Endogenous

2017 December
17/692 (473Kb) Chongwoo Choe and In-Uck Park Information Transmission Through Influence Activities 2017 December
17/691 (509Kb) Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka and In-Uck Park Coordination of Humanitarian Aid 2017 December
17/690 (585Kb) Victor Chernozhukov, Iván Fernández-Val, Whitney Newey, Sami Stouli, Francis Vella

Semiparametric Estimation of Structural Functions in Nonseparable Triangular Models

2017  November
17/689 (1.4Mb)

Simon Burgess, Ellen Greaves and Anna Vignoles

Understanding Parental Choices of Secondary School in England Using National Administrative Data

2017 October
17/688 (416Kb)

Sarah Smith, Mark Ottoni-Wilhelm and Kimberley Scharf

The Donation Response to Natural Disasters

2017 September
17/687 (588Kb)

Kimberley Scharf, Sarah Smith and Mark Ottoni-Wilhelm

Lift and Shift: The Effect of Fundraising Interventions in Charity Space and Time

2017 September
17/686 (458Kb) Ahmed Jamal Pirzada

Price Stickiness and Intermediate Materials Prices

2017 August
17/685 (859Kb) Steven Proud

The Impact of Online Message-Boards on Performance in First Year Econometrics Units

2017 July
17/684 (1.3Mb) Stephanie von Hinke and George Leckie

Protecting Calorie Intakes against Income Shocks

2017 June
17/683 (270Kb) Frank Windmeijer

Two-Stage Least Squares as Minimum Distance

2017 June
17/682 (655Kb) Marc Sangnier and Yanos Zylberberg

Protests and Trust in the State: Evidence from African Countries

2017 May
17/681 (492Kb) Ahmed Jamal Pirzada

Energy Price Uncertainty and Decreasing Pass-through to Core Inflation

2017 April 
16/680 (729Kb) Patrick Arni and Amelie Schiprowski

Strengthening Enforcement in Unemployment Insurance: A Natural Experiment

2016 December
16/679 (615Kb) Christopher L. Skeels and Frank Windmeijer

On the Stock-Yogo Tables

2016 November
16/678 (1.08Mb) Simon Burgess, Robert Metcalfe and Sally Sadoff

Understanding the Response to Financial and Non-financial Incentives in Education: Field Experimental Evidence Using High-stakes Assessments

2016 October
16/677 (3.1Mb) Leandro De Magalhães, Dongya Koh and Raül Santaeulàlia-Llopis

Consumption and Expenditure in Sub-Saharan Africa

2016  September 
16/676 (268Kb) David Pacini and Frank Windmeijer

Robust Inference for the Two-Sample 2SLS Estimator

2016 June
16/675 (473Kb) Gervas Huxley and Mike W. Peacey

Self-Control at College

2016 June
16/674 (447Kb) Frank Windmeijer, Helmut Farbmacher, Neil Davies and George Davey Smith

On the Use of the Lasso for Instrumental Variables Estimation with Some Invalid Instruments

2016 June
16/673 (463Kb) Daniel Borowczyk-Martins and Etienne Lalé

The Welfare Effects of Involuntary Part-time Work

2016 April
16/672 (7.27Mb) Senay Sokullu and Sami Stouli

Cross-Validation Selection of Regularization Parameter(s) for Semiparametric Transformation Models

2016 March
16/671 (1.13Mb) Steve Gibbons, Stephan Heblich, Esther Lho and Christopher Timmins Fear of Fracking: The Impact of the Shale Gas Exploration on House Prices in Britain 2016 March
16/670 (486Kb) Engin Kara and Ahmed Jamal Pirzada A Possible Explanation of the Missing Deflation Puzzle 2016 March
16/669 (713Kb) Richard H. Spady and Sami Stouli Dual Regression 2016 January
16/668 (405Kb) Etienne Lalé Loss of Skill and Labor Market Fluctuations  2015  November
15/667 (429Kb) José M. Fernández and Matteo Pazzona Evaluating the Spillover Eff ects of the Plan Colombia in Ecuador 2015 November
15/666 (951Kb) José M. Fernández

Interdependence among Agricultural Commodity Markets, Macroeconomic Factors, Crude Oil and Commodity Index

2015 November 
15/665 (472Kb) Maija Halonen-Akatwijuka and Oliver Hart

Continuing Contracts

2015 August
15/664 (563Kb) Daniel Borowczyk-Martins and Etienne Lalé

How Bad is Involuntary Part-time Work?

2016 January
15/663 (442Kb) Adwoa A. Nsor-Ambala

Foreign Transfers, Manufacturing Growth and the Dutch Disease Revisited

2015 August
15/662 (469Kb) Leandro De Magalhães and Salomo Hirvonen

Multi-Office Incumbency Advantage: Political Careers in Brazil

2015 June
15/661 (394Kb) Fabiana Gomez and David Pacini

Counting Biased Forecasters: An Application of Multiple Testing Techniques

2015 May 
15/660 (244Kb) David Pacini and Frank Windmeijer

Moment Conditions for AR(1) Panel Data Models with Missing Outcomes

2015 May
15/659 (464Kb) Patrick Carter

Aid Econometrics: Lessons From a Stochastic Growth Model

2015 May
15/658 (496Kb) Jonathan Temple and Nicolas Van de Sijpe

Foreign Aid and Domestic Absorption

2015 May
16/657 (475Kb) Etienne Lalé

Worker Reallocation Across Occupations: Confronting Data With Theory

2015 May
15/656 (467Kb) James Rockey and Jonathan Temple

Growth Econometrics for Agnostics and True Believers

2015 May
15/655 (1.08Mb) Leandro De Magalhães and Raül Santaeulàlia-Llopis

The Consumption, Income, and Wealth of the Poorest: Cross-Sectional Facts of Rural and Urban Sub-Saharan Africa for Macroeconomists

2015 April 
15/654 (555Kb) Fabio Monteforte

Structural Transformation, the Push-Pull Hypothesis and the Labour Market

2015 April
15/653 (317Kb) Huikang Ying

Labour Informality, Selective Migration, and Productivity in General Equilibrium

2015 April
15/652 (913Kb) Etienne Lalé Turbulence and the Employment Experience of Older Workers 2015 January
14/651 (446Kb) Etienne Lalé Front-loading the Payment of Unemployment Benefits 2014 December
14/650 (537Kb) Jonathan Temple and Huikang Ying Life During Structural Transformation  2014 November
14/649 (345Kb) Jonathan Temple, Huikang Ying and Patrick Carter Transfers and Transformations: Remittances, Foreign Aid, and Growth 2014 November
14/648 (738Kb) Etienne Lalé

Labor-market Frictions, Incomplete Insurance and Severance Payments

2016 August
14/647 (549Kb) Grégory Jolivet and Hélène Turon

Consumer Search Costs and Preferences on the Internet

2014 November
14/646 (651Kb) José M. Fernández

Long Run Dynamics of World Food, Crude Oil Prices and Macroeconomic Variables: A Cointegration VAR Analysis

2014 November
14/645 (717Kb) Steven Proud Resits in Higher Education: Merely a Bar to Jump Over, or Do They Give a Pedagogical 'Leg Up'? 2014 July
14/644 (325Kb) Eleanor Sanderson and Frank Windmeijer A Weak Instrument F-Test in Linear IV Models with Multiple Endogenous Variables 2014 June
14/643 (314Kb) Leandro De Magalhães Incumbency Effects in a Comparative Perspective: Evidence from Brazilian Mayoral Elections 2014 June
14/642 (1.45Mb) Oliver Falck, Robert Gold and Stephan Heblich E-lections: Voting Behavior and the Internet 2014 June
14/641 (497Kb) Francesco Giovannoni and Miltiadis Makris Reputational Bidding 2014 June
14/640 (1.62Mb) Elena Asparouhova, Peter Bossaerts, Jon Eguia and William Zame Asset Pricing and Asymmetric Reasoning 2014 May
14/639 (533Kb) Huikang Ying Growth and Structural Change in a Dynamic Lagakos-Waugh Model 2014 May
14/638 (350Kb) Jon X. Eguia and Kenneth A. Shepsle Endogenous Assembly Rules, Senior Agenda Power, and Incumbency Advantage 2014 May
14/637 (492Kb) Daniel Borowczyk-Martins, Jake Bradley and Linas Tarasonis Racial Discrimination in the U.S. Labor Market: Employment and Wage Differentials by Skill 2014 May
14/636 (687Kb) Patrick Carter and Jonathan Temple Virtuous Circles and the Case for Aid 2014 May
13/635 (315Kb) Engin Kara and Jasmin Sin Liquidity, Quantitative Easing and Optimal Monetary Policy 2013 September
12/634 (233Kb) Engin Kara and Jasmin Sin Fiscal Multiplier in a Credit-Constrained New Keynesian Economy 2012 December
12/633 (422Kb) Timo Hiller Peer Effects in Endogenous Networks 2012 November
12/632 (193Kb) Engin Kara Using Micro Data on Prices to Improve Business Cycle Models 2012 November
12/631 (451Kb) David Pacini Least Square Linear Prediction with Two-Sample Data 2012 November
12/630 (248Kb) Patrick Carter Aid Allocation Rules 2012 October
12/629 (305Kb) Timo Hiller Friends and Enemies: A Model of Signed Network Formation 2012 October
12/628 (815Kb) Senay Sokullu Nonparametric Analysis of Two-Sided Markets 2012 October
12/627 (1.04Mb) Roman Fossati Outsourcing versus Vertical Integration: A Dynamic Model of Industry Equilibrium 2012 September
12/626 (227Kb) Imran Hussain Shah and Yuanyuan Wang Revisiting the Dynamic Effects of Oil Price Shock on Small Developing Economies 2012 August
12/625 (509Kb) Senay Sokullu and Jean-Pierre Florens Nonparametric Estimation of Semiparametric Transformation Models 2012 July
12/624 (220Kb) Francesco Giovannoni and Daniel J. Seidmann Corruption and Power in Democracies 2012 June
11/623 (184Kb) Engin Kara Understanding and Modelling Reset Price Inflatio 2011 November
11/622 (238Kb) Leandro M. de Magalhães Political Parties and the Tax Level in the American states: A Regression Discontinuity Design 2011 July
11/621 (222Kb) Huw Dixon and Engin Kara Taking Multi-Sector Dynamic General Equilibrium Models to the Data 2011 July
14/620 (416Kb) Leandro M. De Magalhães and Lucas Ferrero Separation of Powers and the Tax Level in the U. S. States 2014 December
10/619 (173Kb) Engin Kara Reset Price Inflation and Monetary Policy 2010 September
10/618 (895Kb) Richard D.F. Harris, Evarist Stoja and Fatih Yilmaz A Cyclical Model of Exchange Rate Volatility 2010 April
09/617 (304Kb) Arnold Polanski and Evarist Stoja Efficient Evaluation of Multidimensional Time-Varying Density Forecasts with an Application to Risk Management, 2009 December
09/616 (80Kb) Arnold Polanski and Evarist Stoja Dynamic Density Forecasts for Multivariate Asset Returns 2009 September
10/615 (181Kb) David Demery State-Dependent Pricing and the Non-Neutrality of Money (revised version) 2011 June
09/613 (279Kb) Adriana Korczak, Piotr Korczak and Meziane Lasfer To Trade or Not to Trade: The Strategic Trading of Insiders around News Announcements 2009 October
09/612 (245Kb) Piotr Korczak and Kate Phylaktis Related Securities, Allocation of Attention and Price Discovery: Evidence from NYSE-Listed Non-U.S. Stocks 2009 October
09/611 (146Kb) Daniella Acker and Nigel W. Duck On the Reliability of I/B/E/S Earnings Announcement Dates and Forecasts 2009 November
09/610 (346Kb) Edmund Cannon and Ian Tonks The Value and Risk of Defined Contribution Pension Schemes: International Evidence 2009 July
09/609 (695Kb) Giuseppe Moscarini and Fabien Postel-Vinay Large Employers Are More Cyclically Sensitive 2009 February
08/608 (204Kb) Andrew Pickering and Héctor Valle Openness, imported commodities and the Phillips curve 2008 October
08/607 (201Kb) John Maloney and Andrew Pickering Ideology, Competence and Luck: What determines general election results? 2008 November
08/606 (134Kb) Jonathan R. W. Temple The Calibration of CES Production Functions 2008 September
08/605 (277Kb) Imran Rasul and Silvia Sonderegger The Role of the Agent's Outside Options in Principal-Agent Relationships 2008 September
08/604 (405Kb) Fabrizio Adriani, Giancarlo Marini and Pasquale Scaramozzino The Inflationary Consequences of a Currency Changeover on the Catering Sector: Evidence from the Michelin Red Guide 2008 June
08/602 (139Kb) Anthony Brewer The Concept of an Agricultural Surplus, from Petty to Smith 2008 April
08/601 (83Kb) Anthony Brewer Adam Smith's stages of history 2008 March
07/600 (357Kb) James Rockey Which Democracies Pay Higher Wages? 2007 December
07/599 (541Kb) Andrew Pickering and James Rockey Ideology and the Growth of Government 2007 October
07/598 (152Kb) David Demery and Nigel W. Duck Two plus two equals six: an alternative explanation of why so many goods prices end in nine 2007 July
07/597 (2.658Kb) Pornpinun Chantapacdepong Determinants of the time varying risk premia 2007 March
07/596 (284Kb) Thierry Rayna and Ludmila Striukova Digital Rights Management: White Knight or Trojan Horse? 2007 April
07/595 (374Kb) Maurice J.G. Bun and Frank Windmeijer The Weak Instrument Problem of the System GMM Estimator in Dynamic Panel Data Models 2007 March
06/594 (180Kb) Anthony Brewer On the other (invisible) hand ... 2006 November
06/593 (651Kb) Thierry Rayna IPR Protection in the High-Tech Industries: A Model of Piracy 2006 August
06/592 (462Kb) Spyros Andreopoulos The real interest rate, the real oil price, and US unemployment revisited 2006 November
06/591 (301Kb) Frank Windmeijer GMM for panel count data model 2006 October
06/590 (645Kb) Jochonia S. Mathunjwa and Jonathan R. W. Temple Convergence behaviour in exogenous growth models 2006 August
06/589 (519Kb) Yongfu Huang Private investment and financial development in a globalized world 2006 July
06/588 (398Kb) Wei Huang Emerging Markets, Financial Openness and Financial Development 2006 July
06/587 (486Kb) Vatcharin Sirimaneetham What drives liberal policies in developing countries? 2006 June
06/586 (848Kb) Yingfu Huang On the political economy of financial reform 2006 June
06/585 (559Kb) Luis P. Correia Schooling, learning on-the-job, earnings and inequality 2006 May
06/584 (528Kb) Vatcharin Sirimaneetham and Jonathan Temple Macroeconomic policy and the distribution of growth rates 2006 March
06/583 (471Kb) Vatcharin Sirimaneetham Explaining policy volatility in developing countries 2006 February
06/582 (228Kb) Manoel F. Meyer Bittencourt Financial Development and Inequality: Brazil 1985-99 2006 January
06/581 (621Kb) Mathan Satchi and Jonathan Temple Growth and labour markets in developing countries 2006 January
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