Dr Paul Clarke
Senior Research Fellow
Contact Details
Room: 2.1
Telephone: 0117 33 10765
E-mail: Paul.Clarke@bristol.ac.uk
CMPO Working Papers
Research Interests
Paul works on the methodological strand of the ESRC funded project "An examination of the impact of family socio-economic status on outcomes in late childhood and adolescence", developing and applying statistical models and estimation techniques for instrumental variable, multilevel, and missing data problems. He has previously held research posts at University of Southampton, UCL and Imperial College London, working on a wide range of areas including statistical modelling of incomplete data, mathematical modelling of infectious disease, and applications of longitudinal and causal statistical models in social epidemiology.
Affiliations
Recent Publications
Journal articles
- Clarke, P., Will, R.G., Ghani, A.C., Is there the potential for a self-sustaining epidemic of variant Creutzfeld-Jakob disease via blood transfusion in the UK? Journal of the Royal Society Interface 4(15), 675-684 (2007).
- Clarke, P.S., Ghani, A.C., A note on parameter estimation for variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease epidemic models. Statistics in Medicine 26(3), 546-552 (2007).
- Chandola, T., Clarke, P., Morris, J.N., Blane, D., Pathways between education and health: a causal modelling approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A 169(2), 337-359 (2006).
- Clarke, P.S., Analysing change using two measures taken under different conditions. Statistics in Medicine 24(22), 3401-3415 (2005).
- Sacker, A., Clarke, P., Wiggins, R.D., Bartley, M., The social dynamics of health inequalities: a growth curve analysis of self-assessed health in the British Household Panel Study 1991-2000. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 59(6), 495-501 (2005).
- Clarke, P.S., Smith, P.W.F., On maximum likelihood estimation for log-linear models with non-ignorable non-response. Statistics and Probability Letters 73(4), 441-448 (2005).
- Clarke, P., Ghani, A.C., Projections of the future course of the primary vCJD epidemic in the UK: inclusion of subclinical infection and the possibility of wider genetic susceptibility. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 2(2), 19-31 (2005).
- Clarke, P.S., Causal analysis of individual change using the difference score. Epidemiology 15(4), 414-421 (2004).
- Clarke, P.S., Smith, P.W.F., Interval estimation for log-linear models with one variable subject to non-ignorable non-response. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B 66(2), 357-368 (2004).
- Clarke, P.S., Tate, P.F., An application of non-ignorable non-response models for gross flows estimation in the British Labour Force Survey. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics 44(4), 413-425 (2002).
- Clarke, P.S., On boundary solutions and identifiability in categorical regression with non-ignorable non-response. Biometrical Journal 44(6), 701-717 (2002).
- Smith, P.W.F., Skinner, C.J., Clarke, P.S., Allowing for non-ignorable non-response in the analysis of voting intention data. Applied Statistics 48(4), 563-577 (1999).
Book Chapters
- Clarke, P., Hardy, R., Methods for handling missing data. In: Pickles, A.R., Maughan, B., Wadsworth, M.E.J. (eds.), Epidemiological Methods in Life Course Research, 157-179. Oxford: Oxford University Press (2007).
- Lynn, P., Clarke, P., Martin, J., Sturgis, P., The effects of extended interviewer efforts on non-response bias. In: Groves, R.M., Dillman, D.A., Eltinge, J.L., Little, R.J.A. (eds.), Survey Nonresponse, 135-148. New York: John Wiley (2002).
