Emeritus Professor Willy Aspinall
BSc, PhD, C.Sci, C.Geol.
Current positions
Emeritus Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Contact
Press and media
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Research interests
Volcanology and seismology, and the formalised use of expert judgement in decision-making for low probability / high consequence events in circumstances of scientific or engineering uncertainty. Probabilistic assessment of earthquake and volcanic hazards and risks.
Publications
Recent publications
07/05/2025The Kolumbo Volcanic Field, Greece: expert elicitation findings supporting volcanic hazard and risk assessment
Bulletin of Volcanology
The Kolumbo volcanic field, Greece: a review of evidence to reconstruct the 1650 CE eruption and to support hazard and risk assessment
Bulletin of Volcanology
Foundational Aspects for Incorporating Dependencies in Copula-Based Bayesian Networks Using Structured Expert Judgments, Exemplified by the Ice Sheet–Sea Level Rise Elicitation
Entropy
Analysis of magma flux and eruption intensity during the 2021 explosive activity at La Soufrière, St Vincent, West Indies
The 2020–21 Eruption of La Soufrière Volcano, St Vincent
Alternative Covid-19 mitigation measures in school classrooms
Royal Society Open Science