Professor Willy Aspinall
BSc, PhD, C.Sci, C.Geol.
Current positions
Emeritus Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Contact
Press and media
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Research interests
Volcanology and seismology, and the formalised use of expert judgement in decision-making for low probability / high consequence events in circumstances of scientific or engineering uncertainty. Probabilistic assessment of earthquake and volcanic hazards and risks.
Publications
Recent publications
05/11/2024Foundational Aspects for Incorporating Dependencies in Copula-Based Bayesian Networks Using Structured Expert Judgments, Exemplified by the Ice Sheet–Sea Level Rise Elicitation
Entropy
Analysis of magma flux and eruption intensity during the 2021 explosive activity at La Soufrière, St Vincent, West Indies
The 2020–21 Eruption of La Soufrière Volcano, St Vincent
Alternative Covid-19 mitigation measures in school classrooms
Royal Society Open Science
Ice sheet and climate processes driving the uncertainty in projections of future sea level rise: Findings from a structured expert judgement approach.
Earth's Future
A novel approach for evaluating contact patterns and risk mitigation strategies for COVID-19 in English primary schools with application of structured expert judgement
Royal Society Open Science
Related people
Professor Stephen Sparks
Emeritus Professor
School of Earth Sciences
Professor Jeremy Phillips
Professor of Volcanology and Natural Hazards
School of Earth Sciences
Professor Jonathan Bamber
Professor
School of Geographical Sciences
Professor Matthew Watson
Professor of Volcanoes and Climate
School of Earth Sciences
Professor Jenni Barclay
AXA Chair in Volcanology
School of Earth Sciences