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Professor Nicky Welton

Professor Nicky Welton

Professor Nicky Welton
B.Sc.(Sheff.), M.Sc.(U.C.Lond.), Ph.D.(Bristol)

Professor in Statistical and Health Economic Modelling

Area of research

Bayesian multiparameter evidence synthesis and value of information methods

Office 2.01d
Canynge Hall,
39 Whatley Road, Bristol BS8 2PS
(See a map)

Tel. +44 (0) 117 331 3918

Research summary

My research interests include methodology for evidence synthesis, and use of evidence in decision modelling. I also work on methods for Value of Information calculations that can be used to prioritise and design new research by comparing the expected benefit in the reduction of uncertainty in the optimal policy decision with the cost of a proposed new study. In particular, I work on examples of syntheses that provide the inputs to cost-effectiveness analyses that inform reimbursement decisions for health technologies by organisations such as the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE). I have worked on methods for synthesis ...

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After obtaining my PhD in mathematics from Bristol University (1998) I worked for 4 years as a lecturer in Applied Statistics at the University of the West of England. In 2002 I joined the MRC Health Service Research Collaborations Multi-Parameter Evidence Synthesis research group based at the University of Bristol, and which subsequently transfered to the university. Since that time I have contributed to all of the groups synthesis projects: focusing on applications in health technology assessment, synthesis for bias adjustment, synthesis of inputs to Markov models, and heterogeneously reported outcomes. I currently hols an MRC Methodology Research Fellowship to study ...

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Recent publications

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View complete publications list in the University of Bristol publications system

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