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Professor Paul Bates

Flood risk and uncertainty

Paul is a hydrologist by background, a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and a Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award holder. He has widespread research interests in risk, resilience, uncertainty, governance and decision-making in relation to natural hazards and global water issues. He is a double recipient of the Lloyd's of London Science of Risk prize and in 2015 he was awarded a 50th Anivversary Prize for Economic Impact by the UK's Natural Environment Research Council.  He has published over 200 papers in international peer-reviewed journals, and these were cited over 1700 times in 2018 according to the ISI Web of Knowledge. He currently has an ISI H-index of 61. For a full publication list see here.

Paul's main science contribution has been to improve the prediction of flood inundation through the development of new computer models, the use of data from new airborne, satellite and ground sensors and through the better characterization of risk and uncertainty.  For videos of Paul talking about his research see here and here.

He has held Visiting Scientist positions at Princeton University, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Laboratoire National d'Hydraulique, Paris, the EU Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy and NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory.

He also undertakes significant International collaboration, including work with the French National Space Agency (CNES), Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia in Brazil, as well as numerous universities in the US and Europe.

Research keywords

  • Hydraulic Modelling
  • Uncertainty
  • Risk
  • Remote Sensing
  • Model-data comparison
  • Natural Hazards
  • Resilience
  • Decision Making