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Dr Chris Sampson

Dr Chris Sampson

Dr Chris Sampson

Research Collaborator

Area of research

Uncertainty in future flood risk for the insurance market

University Road,
Clifton, Bristol BS8 1SS
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I am currently undertaking a NERC-CASE PhD with the University of Bristol and the Willis Research Network, the aim of which is to critically examine the catastrophe modelling methodology commonly adopted by industry with a particular focus on flooding.

Severe flood events regularly cause damage to homes and businesses, the costs of which are largely borne by insurance and reinsurance companies.  Improved understanding of flood risk over regional scales is required to ensure that such companies adopt robust strategies enabling them to respond to changes in flood risk caused by continued urban development and variations in the frequency of extreme weather events under climate change.   My PhD research aims to develop a regional scale test catastrophe model, based on the structure of commercial models, that incorporates hazard, vulnerability and financial modules.  This model will then be used to evaluate the uncertainty contributed by each element of the model to the total uncertainty in estimated losses.  Furthermore, as a large proportion of the total loss during an event is usually driven by a small portion of the portfolio (typically a clustering of high value assets in a specific geographical location), the ability of catastrophe models to estimate the risk to specific assets will be tested through the application of hydraulic models to high resolution DEMs derived from terrestrial LiDAR data.


MSci Geographical Sciences Graduate (University of Bristol, 1st class honors, 2010)


  • Catastrophe Modelling
  • Flood Modelling
  • Hydrological Modelling
  • Hydraulic Modelling
  • Uncertainty
  • Insurance and Re-insurance.



School of Geographical Sciences

Recent publications

View complete publications list in the University of Bristol publications system

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