Directory of Experts
Details for Professor Jonathan Rougier
| Personal details | |
| Name | Professor Jonathan Rougier |
| Job title | Professor of Statistical Science |
| Department | School of Mathematics University of Bristol |
| Contact details | This expert can be contacted via the University of Bristol Public Relations
Office. To help us deal with your request, please mention the Directory of Experts when contacting the Public Relations Office. work+44 (0)117 331 8092 email: public-relations@bristol.ac.uk |
| Qualifications | B.Sc., Ph.D. (Dunelm.) |
| Professional details | |
| Membership of professional bodies | Fellow, Royal Statistical Society Member, International Society for Bayesian Analysis |
| Keywords | computer experiment complex systems uncertainty climate natural hazards |
| Areas of expertise | Model-based inference for complex systems: combining observational data, evaluations of models, and expert judgements. How do we quantify notions of model-imperfection? How do we combine information from several different models of the same system? How do we accommodate very long model-evaluation times? My main application area is climate prediction, notably in response to transient forcing from greenhouse gas emissions. An important strand is promoting an understanding of uncertainty and probability in science and public policy. |