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Unit information: Epidemic Data Analysis and Modelling in 2023/24

Unit name Epidemic Data Analysis and Modelling
Unit code BRMSM0070
Credit points 10
Level of study M/7
Teaching block(s) Teaching Block 2 (weeks 13 - 24)
Unit director Professor. Brooks Pollock
Open unit status Not open
Units you must take before you take this one (pre-requisite units)

BRMSM0055 - Introduction to Statistical and Epidemiological Methods

Units you must take alongside this one (co-requisite units)

None

Units you may not take alongside this one

None

School/department Bristol Medical School
Faculty Faculty of Health Sciences

Unit Information

Why do numbers of cases grow exponentially during an infectious disease epidemic? What is the R number and how do you estimate it from epidemic data? This unit aims to build an intuitive understanding of epidemic data and how to use it. It will cover theory and techniques used during outbreaks, epidemics and pandemics, using COVID-19 data to build a toolkit for epidemic analysis. These skills can be applied to different diseases epidemics, contexts, and settings.

This unit will give you an understanding of epidemic data and theory, and teach you to use analysis tools for estimating epidemic quantities such as the reproduction ‘R’ number.

Your learning on this unit

At the end of the unit a successful student will be able to:

  1. Discuss the use and relevance of quantities such as the reproduction ‘R’ number, the epidemic growth rate, and the final epidemic size for characterising epidemics.
  2. Devise an appropriate plan for analysing epidemic data.
  3. Use tools to estimate epidemic statistics from time series case data.
  4. Present findings using graphics and summary quantities.

How you will learn

  • There will be 10 teaching weeks
  • Teaching will include learning activities including lectures, small group work, discussions, individual tasks and practical sessions.
  • Directed and self-directed learning will include activities such as reading, accessing web-based supplementary materials, critical analysis, and completion of assessments.
  • 75 hours of directed and self-directed learning. The directed learning includes 25 hours of teaching and the self-directed learning includes activities such as reading, quizzes, and multi-media learning.

How you will be assessed

There will be two types of formative assessment. The first type of formative assessment will take the form of questions and quizzes in lectures and practical sessions and the associated feedback obtained from lecturers/tutors and peers. The second formative assessment will take the form of group work, where students will critically evaluate a modelling research paper and present their findings to the class (ILOs 1-4).

Tasks which count towards your unit mark (summative):

The summative assessment will consist of one piece of coursework. Students will analyse an epidemic dataset and produce a report containing figures, working and epidemic summary statistics, and also submit their code (ILOs 1-4).

Resources

If this unit has a Resource List, you will normally find a link to it in the Blackboard area for the unit. Sometimes there will be a separate link for each weekly topic.

If you are unable to access a list through Blackboard, you can also find it via the Resource Lists homepage. Search for the list by the unit name or code (e.g. BRMSM0070).

How much time the unit requires
Each credit equates to 10 hours of total student input. For example a 20 credit unit will take you 200 hours of study to complete. Your total learning time is made up of contact time, directed learning tasks, independent learning and assessment activity.

See the University Workload statement relating to this unit for more information.

Assessment
The Board of Examiners will consider all cases where students have failed or not completed the assessments required for credit. The Board considers each student's outcomes across all the units which contribute to each year's programme of study. For appropriate assessments, if you have self-certificated your absence, you will normally be required to complete it the next time it runs (for assessments at the end of TB1 and TB2 this is usually in the next re-assessment period).
The Board of Examiners will take into account any exceptional circumstances and operates within the Regulations and Code of Practice for Taught Programmes.

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