Unit name | Monte Carlo Methods |
---|---|

Unit code | MATHM6001 |

Credit points | 10 |

Level of study | M/7 |

Teaching block(s) |
Teaching Block 2C (weeks 13 - 18) |

Unit director | Professor. Andrieu |

Open unit status | Not open |

Pre-requisites |
MATH10012 Probability and Statistics and MATH20008 Probability 2 MATH20800 Statistics 2 and MATH30015 Bayesian Modelling are desirable but not essential |

Co-requisites |
None |

School/department | School of Mathematics |

Faculty | Faculty of Science |

**Unit Aims**

The unit aims to provide students with sufficient background to undertake research in scientific areas that require the use of Monte Carlo methods, by equipping them with the knoweldge and skills to understand, design and apply these techniques. Applications to Bayesian statistics will be discussed.

**Unit Description**

Modern statistics and connected areas very often require the numerical approximation of quantities that are crucial to the understanding of scientific problems as diverse as robot navigation target tracking, wireless communications, epidemiology or genomics to name a few. The Monte Carlo method can be traced back to Babylonian and Old Testament times, but has been systematically used and known under this name since the times of the "Los Alamos School" of physicists and mathematicians in the 1940's-50's. The method is by nature probabilistic and has proved to be a very efficient tool to approximate quantities of interest in various scientific areas.

The main idea of Monte Carlo methods consists of reinterpreting mathematical objects, e.g. an integral or a partial differential equation, in terms of the expected behaviour of a random quantity. For example p = 3.14 can be thought of as being four times the probability that raindrops falling uniformly on a 2cmx2cm square hit an inscribed disc of radius 1cm. Hence provided that realisations (drops in the example) of the random process (here the uniform rain) can be observed, it is then possible estimate the quantity of interest by simple averaging.

The unit will consist of: (i) showing how numerous important quantities of interest in mathematics and related areas can be related to random processes, and (ii) the description of general probabilistic methods that allow one to simulate realisations of such processes on a standard PC.

**Relation to Other Units**

Part of this unit expands upon and applies some of the Markov chain theory studied in Probability 2. The introductions to Bayesian statistics given in Statistics 2 and Bayesian Modelling will be very useful for students taking this unit.

Learning Objectives

The students will be able to:

- Read and understand the scientific literature where standard Monte Carlo methods are used.

- Understand and develop Monte Carlo techniques for solving scientific problems, including Bayesian analysis.

- Understand the probabilistic underpinnings of the methods and be able to justify theoretically the use of the various algorithms encountered.

Transferable Skills:

In addition to the general skills associated with other mathematical units, students will also have the opportunity to gain practice in the implementation of algorithms in R.

The unit will be taught through a combination of

- synchronous online and, if subsequently possible, face-to-face lectures
- asynchronous online materials, including narrated presentations and worked examples
- guided asynchronous independent activities such as problem sheets and/or other exercises
- synchronous weekly group problem/example classes, workshops and/or tutorials
- synchronous weekly group tutorials
- synchronous weekly office hours

80% Timed, open-book examination 20% Coursework

Raw scores on the examinations will be determined according to the marking scheme written on the examination paper. The marking scheme, indicating the maximum score per question, is a guide to the relative weighting of the questions. Raw scores are moderated as described in the Undergraduate Handbook.

If this unit has a Resource List, you will normally find a link to it in the Blackboard area for the unit. Sometimes there will be a separate link for each weekly topic.

If you are unable to access a list through Blackboard, you can also find it via the Resource Lists homepage. Search for the list by the unit name or code (e.g. MATHM6001).

**How much time the unit requires**

Each credit equates to 10 hours of total student input. For example a 20 credit unit will take you 200 hours
of study to complete. Your total learning time is made up of contact time, directed learning tasks,
independent learning and assessment activity.

See the Faculty workload statement relating to this unit for more information.

**Assessment**

The Board of Examiners will consider all cases where students have failed or not completed the assessments required for credit.
The Board considers each student's outcomes across all the units which contribute to each year's programme of study. If you have self-certificated your absence from an
assessment, you will normally be required to complete it the next time it runs (this is usually in the next assessment period).

The Board of Examiners will take into account any extenuating circumstances and operates
within the Regulations and Code of Practice for Taught Programmes.