Interactions of climate variability and change in simulations and observations

17 February 2016, 4.00 PM - 17 February 2016, 5.00 PM

Coutts Lecture Theatre, Wills Memorial Building,

A talk by climate scientist Ed Hawkins.


Earth's climate is changing. Temperatures are increasing globally, but at varying rates, both spatially and over time. Arctic sea ice is melting overall, but rather unevenly. These features reflect the complex interaction of long-term anthropogenic changes and natural climate fluctuations. Making predictions of the future, with appropriate estimates of uncertainty, requires an appreciation of this complexity, especially as much of the uncertainty on regional spatial scales is irreducible. This talk will discuss our historical understanding of climate variations and how we are using both observations and climate simulations to provide estimates of the uncertainty in future climate predictions.


Ed Hawkins is a climate scientist in the National Centre for Atmospheric Science at the University of Reading. He is a NERC Advanced Fellow and was a Contributing Author to the 5th Assessment Report of the IPCC. He also runs a popular climate blog ( and can usually be found on twitter (@ed_hawkins).

Please note this talk is only open to University of Bristol staff and students.

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